高频公交线路运行区间重叠下的车辆静态调度与动态控制方法

项目来源

国家自然科学基金(NSFC)

项目主持人

别一鸣

项目受资助机构

吉林大学

项目编号

71771062

立项年度

2017

立项时间

未公开

项目级别

国家级

研究期限

未知 / 未知

受资助金额

48.00万元

学科

管理科学-管理科学与工程-交通运输管理

学科代码

G-G01-G0116

基金类别

面上项目

关键词

区间重叠 ; 公共交通管理 ; 发车频率 ; 优化算法 ; 动态控制 ; Public transportation management ; dispatching frequency ; dynamic control ; overlapped section ; optimizaton algorithm

参与者

冯树民;程绍武;胡宝雨;郝斯琪;曲文良;姜楠;栗波;王成;贺具成

参与机构

哈尔滨工业大学

项目标书摘要:在我国各大城市主干道,普遍存在多条高发车频率的公交线路运行区间重叠的现象。这不仅会增大公交车停靠时间的随机波动、降低线路运行可靠性;还容易出现多辆公交车同时进站,导致站点处的交通瓶颈。已有研究并未考虑区间重叠对公交调度和动态控制的影响;而且动态控制方面以驻站策略为主,研究成果无法适应我国城市公交特征。基于此,本项目分析重叠区间内出行的乘客比例、站点数量对各线路公交车辆运行的影响,建立发车频率与发车时刻的协同优化方法。将公交线路分解为路段、交叉口、站点三部分,为了在路段与交叉口消除相邻公交车运行状态的差异,基于信号控制、车速引导、协作式超车、协同进站等构建车头时距动态控制策略集,建立车头时距动态演化模型。考虑车头时距评价指标与乘客总出行时间构建优化目标,以动态控制策略集中的控制参数为优化变量,建立多条线路公交车控制方案的多阶段优化方法。研究成果对于提高公交系统运行效率与可靠性具有重要意义。

Application Abstract: On the arterial roads of large cities in our country,it is a common phenomenon that multiple high-frequency bus routes overlap in some operating sections.This will result in large fluctuations in bus dwell times and reduce the operational reliability.Besides,it also leads to simultaneous arrivals of multiple buses at the stop and cause the traffic bottleneck.In current researches,the impact of these features on bus schedule and dynamic control were not considered.In addition,the holding strategy was usually employed in dynamic control methods,which is not suitable to the bus systems in our country.Therefore,in this study the impacts of passenger demand and number of stops in overlapping section on bus movements are analyzed,and then a synchronous algorithm is developed to optimize bus frequencies and dispatching times for the multiple routes.The bus route is divided into three sections,which are intersection,road section and stop.To eliminate the differences in operating states of adjacent buses in road section or intersection,the dynamic control set is brought forward based on four strategies,which are signal control,speed guidance,cooperative overtake and cooperative pull in.The bus headway evolution model is developed.The optimization objective is given by considering headway evaluating index and passenger total travel times.Parameters in the dynamic control set are taken as optimization variables,the multiple-state optimization method is developed to produce dynamic control plans for the buses on multiple routes.The study is meaningful to improve the operational efficiency and reliability of bus system.

项目受资助省

吉林省

项目结题报告(全文)

为了解决由于公交线路运行区间重叠导致的公交站点堵塞、串车等问题,本项目以城市公交系统为研究对象,建立了线路静态调度与车辆动态控制方法。取得的主要理论成果包括:(1)公交线路运行参数估计方法运行参数的准确估计是制定线路时刻表以及车辆动态控制方案的基础。本项目基于哈尔滨市公交车GPS数据以及调研得到的运行数据,分别建立了考虑车厢拥挤度影响的站点停靠时间估计方法、考虑信号交叉口影响的站间行程时间预测方法以及冬季冰雪天气影响下的线路行程时间估计方法。(2)公交线路静态调度方法公交线路的静态调度主要是从时间控制点确定、时刻表制定、车型选择、车辆停靠方案等角度,优化静态调度方案。将时间控制点的确定转换为多阶段决策过程,利用动态规划方法建立了时间控制点的优化模型;考虑城市干道公交线路运行区间重叠的影响,根据乘客起点与终点,将乘客分为三种类型;建立了考虑乘客出行行为的时刻表优化方法、越站策略影响下的线路组合调度方法、大型车与小型车相结合情况下的组合调度方法。以哈尔滨市的实际公交线路为例,对所建立的静态调度方法进行了验证与评价。(3)公交车辆动态控制方法针对公交车运行过程中出现的晚点、串车等问题,建立了由车速诱导、多周期信号协同优化、驻站、超车等构成的动态控制策略集合;给出了公交车辆动态运行过程描述模型;以公交车辆车头时距偏离程度最小为目标,分别建立了单线路公交车辆动态控制模型、多线路重叠下的公交车辆动态控制模型、允许超车情况下的车辆动态控制模型;并以哈尔滨市和吉林省梅河口市的实际公交线路为例进行验证。(4)电动公交车辆调度方法这是本项目的扩展内容。考虑公交车线路行程时间以及运行能耗的随机波动,基于实际数据建立了能耗估计模型、能耗与行程时间随机波动的表达方法;以所需电动公交车最少、能耗最小、准点率最高为目标,建立了电动公交线路车辆排班与充电的调度模型;并以一条实际公交线路为例进行验证。

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  • 2.考虑决策惯性的多元路径选择模型

    • 关键词:
    • 综合交通运输;路径选择模型;贝叶斯网络;参考依赖理论
    • 张丽娟;李江林;肖海承
    • 《中国市场》
    • 2024年
    • 03期
    • 期刊

    为研究决策惯性在出行者路径选择行为中的影响,将出行者分为高敏感型和低敏感型。在决策惯性影响与超出决策惯性影响的基础上,分析出行者在路径选择中的实际行为。从真实的决策结果出发,明确了惯性决策临界值的计算方法,通过量化对决策惯性的影响范围进行描述;分析了不同情境下的惯性行为及影响因素,采用因果图和贝叶斯网络寻求变量间关系;构建不同情境下的多元路径选择模型,从而因地制宜地计算路径选择概率。通过验证数据集,对构建模型进行验证。研究结果表明,决策惯性在出行行为中真实存在,对不同情境下的路径选择概率有不同影响,在考虑路径选择时考虑决策惯性将得到更精准的结果;同时,惯性临界值对模型的选取有较大的影响。

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  • 3.A co-evolutionary lane-changing trajectory planning method for automated vehicles based on the instantaneous risk identification

    • 关键词:
    • Traffic engineering; Intelligent vehicle; Lane change planning; Riskidentification;MODEL
    • Wu, Jiabin;Chen, Xiaohua;Bie, Yiming;Zhou, Wei
    • 《ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION》
    • 2023年
    • 180卷
    • 期刊

    Lane-changing trajectory planning (LTP) is an effective concept to control automated vehicles (AVs) in mixed traffic, which can reduce traffic conflicts and improve overall traffic efficiency. To enhance the lane change safety for AVs, a co-evolutionary lane-changing trajectory planning (CLTP) method is proposed to describe the risk minimization process that co-evolves with the dynamic traffic environment in the limited literature. Firstly, the natural driving data of vehicle trajectory on the expressway provided by the High dataset are used to construct the lane-changing samples. To obtain the future traffic environment information, a deep learning neural network is adopted to capture trajectory dynamics in mobility of surrounding vehicles around a lanechanging vehicle. Secondly, the safe interaction between the subject vehicle and the surrounding vehicles is considered to establish a mathematical model for the temporal and spatial risk identification of a lane change event based on the fault tree analysis method. Subsequently, the risk minimization of lane change is considered as the objective. Based on the acceleration and deceleration overtaking rules and the trapezoidal acceleration method, the longitudinal and lateral displacement schemes during a lane change are designed. Finally, the motion parameters of longitudinal and lateral displacement are acquired to form an ideal lane change trajectory using a genetic algorithm. The results show that this method can effectively achieve higher safety of the lanechanging process, and reduce the traffic conflicts and traffic turbulence caused by dangerous lane-changing behaviors. The findings can provide theoretical support for lane change trajectory planning algorithm design of intelligent vehicles.

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  • 4.Co-Evolutionary Location-Routing Model of Medical Isolation Areas for Major Public Health Emergencies Considering the Uncertainty of Future Traffic Environment

    • 关键词:
    • planning and analysis; route choice modeling; transportation networkmodeling; path finding; transportation and society; transportation andpublic health; health care access;ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; OPTIMIZATION
    • Wu, Jiabin;He, Jingshi;Lin, Yifeng;Bie, Yiming
    • 《TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD》
    • 2022年
    • 期刊

    With the continuous development of the COVID-19 pandemic, the selection of locations for medical isolation areas has not always been optimal for the timely transportation of infected people, or those suspected of being infected. This has resulted in failure to control the rate of spread of infection cases in time. To address this problem, this paper proposes a co-evolutionary location-routing optimization (CELRO) model of medical isolation areas for use in major public health emergencies to develop a rapid location-routing scheme for epidemic isolation, including the selection of locations of medical isolation facilities per area and the optimal route per vehicle to each infected person. Specifically, this paper solves the following two sub-problems: (i) calculate the shortest transportation times and corresponding routes from any medical isolation area to any person infected or suspected of being infected, and (ii) calculate the location scheme for distribution of isolation areas. Different from previous studies, the vehicle operating characteristics and the interference of uncertainty of the traffic environment are considered in the proposed model. To find an appropriate scheme for location of medical isolation areas with the shortest travel times, a co-evolutionary clustering algorithm (CECA), which is a combination of some separated evolutionary programming operations, is proposed to solve the model. Various network sizes and uncertainty combinations are used to design some comparative tests, which aim to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model. In the experiment section, CELRO reduced travel time by at least 14% compared with other methods. This finding can provide an effective theoretical basis for optimizing the spatial layout of medical isolation areas or the location planning of new medical facilities.

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  • 5.雨雪天气下轨道交通客流预测模型

    • 关键词:
    • 城市轨道交通;雨雪天气;客流预测;客流波动规律;LSTM神经网络
    • 冯树民;刘浩;李来成
    • 《哈尔滨工业大学学报》
    • 2022年
    • 9期
    • 期刊

    为了完善雨雪天气下轨道交通客流预测模型,对哈尔滨市地铁1号线2017年12月份至2019年1月份的全线客流数据进行研究,引入客流基准值和客流偏差率的指标来量化轨道交通客流波动情况,研究雨雪天气下轨道交通客流波动规律,提出一种基于雨雪

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  • 6.HVAC operation planning for electric bus trips based on chance-constrained programming

    • 关键词:
    • Electric bus; HAVC system; Operation planning; Chance constrainedprogramming; Thermal comfort;AIR-CONDITIONING SYSTEM; THERMAL COMFORT; VENTILATION; PREDICTION;QUALITY; DEMAND; TIME; MIX
    • Bie, Yiming;Liu, Yajun;Li, Shiwu;Wang, Linhong
    • 《ENERGY》
    • 2022年
    • 258卷
    • 期刊

    Turning on the heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) system is one effective measure to improve the thermal comfort of passengers in an electric bus (EB). However, it will also increase the consumption of the battery power. For an EB with limited battery capacity and that can only be charged at night, it is impossible to keep the HVAC on for all-day trips. This study aims to develop a daily HVAC operation planning model for an EB to maximize the thermal comfort of the passengers under the constraint of battery capacity. Firstly, we developed a cabin temperature estimation model to quantify the thermal comfort of the passengers. Secondly, considering the stochastic volatility of trip energy consumption, the chance-constrained programming based HVAC planning model is established, to determine the optimal HVAC gear of each trip. Finally, a real EB is taken as an example and field operational data collected in three different seasons are used in the case study. Results show that passenger's thermal comfort can be improved in different seasons after applying the proposed optimization method while avoiding the service interruption due to running down of battery power.

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  • 7.A Dynamic Regional Partitioning Method for Active Traffic Control

    • 关键词:
    • traffic engineering; active traffic control; spectral clustering; degreeof association; dynamic partitioning
    • Xing, Yan;Li, Wenqing;Liu, Weidong;Li, Yachao;Zhang, Zhe
    • 《SUSTAINABILITY》
    • 2022年
    • 14卷
    • 16期
    • 期刊

    In order to identify the scope of active traffic control regions and improve the effect of active traffic control, this paper proposes a dynamic partitioning method of area boundaries based on benchmark intersections, taking into account the saturation, homogeneity, and correlation of intersections in the region. First, a boundary indicator correlation model was established. Next, benchmark intersections were selected based on evaluation indicators, such as traffic speed and queue length. Then, the boundary of the control region is initially defined based on the selected reference intersection, through a combination of the improved Newman algorithm. Subsequently, a spectral clustering algorithm is used to obtain the boundaries of the optimal active control subregions. Finally, a city road network is used as the study object for analysis and verification under the premise of implementing active traffic control. The results show that compared with the intersection clustering algorithm method and the boundary control subdivision method, the control effect indicators, such as the average delay and the average number of stops, have a great optimization improvement. Thus, the proposed method of regional borders combines the actual traffic flow characteristics efficiently to make a more accurate real-time dynamic division of the road network sub-areas.

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  • 8.Scheduling Synchronization for Overlapping Segments in Bus Lines: Speed Control and Green Extension Strategies

    • 关键词:
    • TRAVEL-TIME; ALGORITHM
    • Zhao, Hu;Feng, Shumin;Ci, Yusheng;Xin, Mengwei;Huang, Qiuju
    • 《JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION》
    • 2022年
    • 2022卷
    • 期刊

    Overlapping bus lines are ubiquitous in bus networks, particularly in metropolitan areas. The overlapping of bus lines can provide convenience for passengers who wish to transfer. However, it also tends to cause bus bunching at overlapping segment stops. Moreover, overlapping of bus lines introduces additional complexity to the operation of bus systems. This study aimed to dispatch bus vehicles entering overlapping segments dynamically by adopting speed control and green light extension strategies. This ensures that transferring passengers experience less transfer waiting time and reduced bus bunching at overlapping segments. The proposed model considers environmental constraints on vehicle speed and the stochastic factors of passenger arrivals at a stop. Synchronization is maximized by controlling the speed of vehicles along a roadway and determining whether a green light extension strategy is enabled. The effectiveness of the proposed model was verified by applying it to a real overlapping segment in Harbin, China. The results demonstrate that the proposed model can more than double the opportunity for synchronization in overlapping segments while reducing bus bunching at the stops in overlapping segments.

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  • 9.基于乘客换乘需求的重叠线路公交调度优化

    • 关键词:
    • 公共交通;调度优化;遗传算法;发车间隔;重叠线路;公交换乘
    • 冯树民;廖嘉雯;赵琥
    • 《哈尔滨工业大学学报》
    • 2022年
    • 3期
    • 期刊

    为提高重叠公交线路间协同性、减少公交运力资源浪费,提出了考虑乘客换乘的重叠线路公交调度优化方法。根据乘客起讫点与重叠区段的位置关系将乘客划分为三类,深入研究了重叠区站点各类乘客公交出行过程;针对重叠公交线路上乘客换乘行为

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  • 10.车辆提前掉头几何参数设置及阈值流量研究

    • 关键词:
    • 交通工程;阈值流量;车均延误;提前掉头;交通仿真
    • 张小龙;赵界;李冰;杨鸿宇
    • 《公路交通技术》
    • 2022年
    • 1期
    • 期刊

    为提高城市道路车辆掉头安全与通行效率,以传统四相位信号控制交叉口为研究对象,提出路段提前掉头设置条件与方法。同时以车辆通行安全和效率为目标,构建了车辆提前掉头开口位置与上下游交叉口距离的判别模型、掉头车流排队长度以及掉

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