全球增暖1.5℃下年代际变化机理、预测及碳排放路径试验

项目来源

国(略)研(略)((略)D(略)

项目主持人

刘(略)

项目受资助机构

北(略)

项目编号

2(略)Y(略)6(略)0(略)

立项年度

2(略)

立项时间

未(略)

研究期限

未(略) (略)

项目级别

国(略)

受资助金额

5(略)0(略)

学科

全(略)及(略)

学科代码

未(略)

基金类别

未(略)

关键词

全(略) (略)代(略) (略)排(略) (略)向(略) (略)候(略);(略)o(略) (略)m(略) (略)n(略)d(略)d(略)v(略)a(略)i(略);(略)r(略) (略)s(略)n(略)t(略)y(略)m(略)d(略)a(略)e(略)t(略)s(略)t(略)c(略)a(略)p(略)i(略)o(略)

参与者

刘(略)李(略)磊(略)

参与机构

中(略)大(略)京(略)程(略)

项目标书摘要:利用(略)OAM两个模式完成(略)放路径下的模拟试验(略)候系统对1.5℃增(略)。提出了海洋大气经(略)的“补偿响应”和“(略),海气界面的热通量(略)的补偿响应,而气候(略)海洋和大气同向的合(略)北半球为关于赤道对(略)送和减弱的极向海洋(略)是因为南大洋存在热(略)的北向热输送抵消了(略)向热输送。课题组揭(略)际振荡模态在气候增(略)减弱的变化特征;阐(略)球变暖背景下的强度(略)融水比南部融水更为(略)取得了气候预测原理(略),揭示了集合预报中(略)技巧的关系,发展了(略)了有效的因子提取方(略)耦合模态的自维持振(略)年代际气候预测奠定(略)

Applicati(略): Climate(略)s under t(略)of carbon(略)ith 1.5℃ (略)ing are f(略)ng two cl(略)s,NUIST-E(略).These ex(略)rovide a (略)or the pr(略)vestigate(略)se the Ea(略)imate to (略)g.Two mod(略)esponses (略)ric merid(略)transport(略)eanic mer(略)t transpo(略)lobal war(略)oposed:co(略)response (略)ration re(略)rface hea(略)es opposi(略)OHT respo(略) compensa(略)se,while (略)flux into(略)d system (略)and OHT r(略) the same(略)in the co(略) response(略)delling s(略) a compen(略)e of AHT (略)t is larg(略)ic about (略) in the i(略)ing stage(略)creasing (略)T and dec(略)eward OHT(略)mispheres(略)y symmetr(略)onses can(略)as a canc(略)tween a s(略)T respons(略)d with th(略) AMOC and(略)t northwa(略)ciated wi(略)eased hea(略)n the Sou(略).Under gl(略)g,the Pac(略)l oscilla(略)d Atlanti(略)dal oscil(略)have weak(略)udes and (略)eriods,an(略)tic merid(略)urning ci(略)MOC)is al(略)weaker be(略)e Arctic (略)ting.The (略)s more wh(略)hwater is(略) from the(略)reenland (略)IS)than w(略)ischarged(略)outhern G(略)es in the(略) methods (略)predictio(略)made.We i(略)he relati(略)een the p(略)recast sk(略)ual forec(略)n ensembl(略)odel fore(略)oped a th(略)derstandi(略)ral featu(略)seasonal (略)ity barri(略) a method(略)ing robus(略)s from a (略)d,and exp(略)self-sust(略)sm of the(略)mosphere-(略) in the n(略)c.These r(略)a foundat(略) further (略)decadal p(略)n the nex(略)the progr(略)

项目受资助省

北(略)

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