百万千瓦超超临界机组的精细状态监测、故障诊断与自愈调控关键技术研究

项目来源

国家自然科学基金(NSFC)

项目主持人

赵春晖

项目受资助机构

浙江大学

立项年度

2017

立项时间

未公开

项目编号

U1709211

研究期限

未知 / 未知

项目级别

国家级

受资助金额

200.00万元

学科

信息科学-自动化-控制理论与技术

学科代码

F-F03-F0301

基金类别

联合基金项目-重点支持项目-NSFC-浙江两化融合联合基金

关键词

全工况 ; 精细状态监测 ; 故障诊断 ; 故障自愈 ; 故障预测 ; full operation conditions ; detailed condition monitoring ; fault diagnosis ; fault prognosis ; fault self-recovery

参与者

刘向杰;王印松;谢尉扬;胡伯勇;孔小兵;张淑美;张震伟;唐晓宇;余万科

参与机构

华北电力大学;浙江浙能技术研究院有限公司

项目标书摘要:大容量、高参数、低能耗的百万千瓦超超临界机组是发电领域的高端装备,已成为浙江省乃至全国电力工业发展的主流方向,其安全可靠运行对推动浙江省两化深度融合和发电企业转型升级具有重要意义。本项目在系统分析机组全流程复杂特性和深度变负荷动态过渡特性基础上,提取高端装备运行状态监控与故障诊断的关键科学问题,建立一整套面向百万千瓦超超临界机组全工况的运行状态监控与故障诊断的理论方法和关键技术,包括:提出一种能适应不同稳定工况和动态过渡工况的全工况精细化状态监测方法;提出一种变负荷动态运行和多故障并发条件下的智能故障诊断以及缓变故障预测方法;提出一种非优状态的优化补偿策略和基于自愈知识库与全局优化的故障自修复策略。在上述理论方法研究的基础上,形成面向百万千瓦超超临界机组的高端工业自动化技术,并在浙江省浙能集团下属电厂百万千瓦超超临界机组上进行示范应用,提高设备透明化水平和运行效率,进一步推动智能电厂发展。

Application Abstract: 1000MW ultra supercritical unit with large capacity,high parameter and low energy consumption is the high-end equipment in power generation and has become the main development direction of the power industry in both Zhejiang province and China.Its safe and reliable operation has been of great significance to the integration of information technology and industrialization in Zhejiang province and upgrading of power plant.Based on a systematic analysis of the plant-wide complexity and dynamic transition characteristics under varying load conditions,this project will reveal the key scientific problems of condition monitoring and fault diagnosis for high-end equipment and develop a set of theoretical methods and key technologies of conditions monitoring and fault diagnosis for 1000MW ultra supercritical unit under full operation conditions.It includes a detailed full condition monitoring method for different steady conditions and dynamic transition conditions,an intelligent diagnosis and slow-varying fault prognostic method for varying load conditions and multiple faults,and an optimal compensation strategy for non-optimal state and fault self-recovery strategy based on knowledge base and global optimization.Finally,the proposed advanced industrial automation technology will be demonstrated on the real 1000MW ultra supercritical unit in Zhejiang province to improve the unit operation efficiency and promote the development of smart power plant.

项目受资助省

浙江省

项目结题报告(全文)

大容量、高参数、低能耗的百万千瓦超超临界机组是发电领域的重大装备,其安全可靠运行对推动两化深度融合和发电企业转型升级具有重要意义。本项目在系统分析机组全流程复杂特性和深度变负荷动态过渡特性基础上,建立了大范围非平稳运行工况智能监控基础理论,攻克了大范围非平稳变化下运行工况难以精准识别的技术瓶颈,研发的监控系统在多家电厂进行了示范应用,提高了设备透明化水平和运行效率。在国际国内期刊及重要国际国内会议上发表/录用论文97篇,包括SCI论文69篇,EI收录等28篇(与SCI不重复统计)。研究成果发表于IEEE TCYB、IEEE TIP、IEEE TCST、IEEE TNNLS、IEEE TIE等权威IEEE汇刊30余篇、IFAC过程控制顶刊JPC等,以及自动化学报等国内核心期刊。10余篇论文先后入选ESI高被引论文(2篇为热点论文)。先后多次获得国际国内权威学术会议的最佳论文奖或提名奖(一作或通讯)。出版专著3本,获中国石油和化学工业优秀出版物奖:图书奖一等奖1项。授权国家发明专利35项、软件著作权2项,已形成了对重大发电装备运行工况智能监控的专利保护族群。研究工作获中国自动化学会自然科学一等奖、浙江省首届青年科技英才奖、中国石化工业联合会科技进步(图书)三等奖等科技奖励。项目负责人获得了国家杰出青年科学基金的资助,获浙江省青年拔尖人才、中国过程控制青年奖等荣誉奖励。培养国家青年基金获得者5人,培养的博士获中国自动化学会优博提名、中国电子学会优博等。受邀担任6家国内外期刊编委,其中IFAC过控领域顶刊JPC目前全球仅设有5名高级编委(Senior Editor),赵春晖为史上唯一华人高级编委。多次在国内外学术会议作大会报告及特邀报告,其中,IFAC ADCHEM是在全球范围内召开的每三年一次的重要国际会议(全球过程控制领域顶级会议),赵春晖受邀做大会报告。成果已在集团下属嘉华和台二电厂形成示范应用,部分实现高端工业监控软件的国产化替代,仅软件维护费用一项,每年可减少470万元以上。与原有监控软件相比,解决了误报率高的问题,在不增加漏报的前提下,误报率降低60%;典型故障溯源的准确率高于90%。因此,设备潜在风险能够被及时处理,避免更大安全事故,为机组的稳定安全运行提供了有力的技术保障。

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  • 1.一种基于稀疏偏最小二乘-典型相关分析(SPLS-CCA)的产品质量智能追溯方法

    • 《2018中国自动化大会(CAC2018)》
    • 2018-11-30
    • 中国陕西西安
    • 会议

    近些年,频繁发生的产品召回事件,愈发体现出产品质量追溯的重要性。然而,传统的质量追溯方法缺乏对于造成质量问题的关键因素的有效分析,难以满足实际工业生产的需求。针对这一问题,本文提出一种稀疏偏最小二乘-典型相关分析(SPLS-CCA)的产品质量智能追溯方法,实现了影响产品质量的关键过程变量的有效分析与识别,从而为后续提高产品质量提供了依据。这一方法对于企业的产品质量把控与经济效益的提高有着较大的意义。

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  • 2.Sparse adjacency forecasting and its application to efficient root cause diagnosis of process faults

    • 关键词:
    • Accident prevention;Time series;Fault detection;Numerical methods;Benchmarking;Matrix algebra;Adjacency matrix;Causal inferences;Linear methods;Non-linear methods;Nonlinear process;Nonlinear random feature;Random features;Root cause;Root cause diagnose;Sparse adjacency forecasting
    • Song, Pengyu;Zhao, Chunhui
    • 《16th IFAC Symposium on Advanced Control of Chemical Processes, ADCHEM 2021》
    • 2021年
    • June 13, 2021 - June 16, 2021
    • Venice, Italy
    • 会议

    Efficient fault root cause diagnosis is essential to ensure the production safety of industrial processes. The existing root cause diagnosis models can be summarized as linear methods and nonlinear methods. Linear methods cannot handle nonlinear processes well, while nonlinear methods usually require pairwise calculations between variables, which are complex and difficult to apply in real time. To address the above issues, a method for root cause diagnosis of nonlinear processes, termed sparse adjacency forecasting (SAF), is proposed in this paper. SAF is a causal inference method based on the idea of Granger causality. While forecasting time series, it constructs an adjacency matrix to synthesize the process information and the interaction of different variables. By adding sparse constraints to the adjacency matrix, the predictive effects between variables are reflected, and the causality is captured. This method only needs to model once to obtain the causal relationship between all variables, which avoids multiple modeling and improves diagnosis efficiency. Besides, in order to solve the nonlinear problem, multiple nonlinear random feature nodes are introduced for time series prediction. Two cases are adopted to verify the causal inference and root cause diagnosis performance of the proposed method, including a numerical case and the Tennessee Eastman benchmark process.
    © 2021 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0)

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  • 3.Fault detection for Nonstationary Process with Decomposition and Analytics of Gaussian and Non-Gaussian Subspaces

    • 关键词:
    • Process control;Gaussian distribution;Monte Carlo methods;Process monitoring;Gaussian noise (electronic);Monitoring performance;Monte Carlo sampling;Non-gaussian distribution;Nonstationary process;Sample distributions;Statistical modeling;Subspace decomposition;Thermal power plants
    • Zhao, Yi;Zhao, Chunhui;Sun, Youxian
    • 《16th IEEE International Conference on Control, Automation, Robotics and Vision, ICARCV 2020》
    • 2020年
    • December 13, 2020 - December 15, 2020
    • Virtual, Shenzhen, China
    • 会议

    Process monitoring is a challenging task for modern industrial processes which are commonly nonstationary in nature, revealing typical non-Gaussian characteristics. Nowadays, data-driven based fault detection methods have drawn increasing attention, most of which work under an assumption that the process is subject to Gaussian distribution. But in practice, the underlying non-Gaussian characteristics may be typical in the complex process, which cannot be properly enclosed by a statistical model with a close confidence region and thus may be insensitive to fault detection. Hence, it is necessary to explore and separate the underlying Gaussian and non-Gaussian distributions in fine-grain. In this work, a Gaussian and non-Gaussian subspace decomposition method is proposed by designing a variant of stationary subspace analysis (VSSA) for nonstationary process monitoring. First, the whole time-wise nonstationary process can be neatly converted to condition-wise slices. Then, a Monte Carlo sampling based VSSA technique is designed to separate Gaussian and non-Gaussian subspaces from each other, which focuses on analyzing sample distribution rather than time series properties. Here the Gaussian subspace, which is readily characterized by a statistical model, is used for revealing similar condition slices and affiliate them into the same condition mode. And two monitoring statistics are developed to explore the Gaussian and non-Gaussian distribution structures, thus providing fine-grained distribution analytics and promoting monitoring performance. The feasibility and performance of the proposed method are demonstrated on a real thermal power plant process. © 2020 IEEE.

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  • 4.Stable Economic Model-Predictive Control for T-S Fuzzy Systems with Persistent Disturbances

    • 关键词:
    • Hierarchical systems;Boiler control;Fuzzy systems;Predictive control systems;Fuzzy control;Linear matrix inequalities;Boiler turbine system;Dynamic tracking;Economic model-predictive control;Economic models;Economic performance;Hierarchical model;Linear matrix in equalities;Model-predictive control;Persistent disturbances;T S fuzzy system
    • Abdelbaky, Mohamed Abdelkarim;Liu, Xiangjie;Kong, Xiaobing
    • 《40th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2021》
    • 2021年
    • July 26, 2021 - July 28, 2021
    • Shanghai, China
    • 会议

    The economic performance of a process is generally managed in a hierarchical model-predictive control structure, wherein the low layer fulfills the dynamic tracking performance while the upper layer fulfills the economic performance. Nevertheless, this architecture achieves steady-state optimization, but it may ignore the dynamic optimization of this process. In contrast, the input and soft-state constraints are important to be satisfied whole the time with guaranteeing a feasible solution. From that perspective, economic model-predictive control is proposed to demonstrate the performance and the stability of T-S fuzzy systems with persistent disturbance. Based on fuzzy modeling, online optimal feedback control is designed to guarantee the proposed controller's stability and feasibility through a constrained-MPC problem in linear matrix inequalities form. The proposed approach combines economic optimization and the dynamic tracking of the fuzzy control system into a single online framework. A nonlinear numerical example and the boiler-turbine application are utilized to demonstrate the proposed scheme's effectiveness under system load variations and persistent disturbances.
    © 2021 Technical Committee on Control Theory, Chinese Association of Automation.

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  • 5.Sparse adjacency forecasting and its application to efficient root cause diagnosis of process faults

    • 关键词:
    • Accident prevention ; Time series ; Fault detection ; Numerical methods ; Benchmarking ; Matrix algebra;Adjacency matrix ; Causal inferences ; Linear methods ; Non;linear methods ; Nonlinear process ; Nonlinear random feature ; Random features ; Root cause ; Root cause diagnose ; Sparse adjacency forecasting
    • SongPengyu;ZhaoChunhui
    • 《16th IFAC Symposium on Advanced Control of Chemical Processes, ADCHEM 2021》
    • 2021年
    • June 13, 2021 - June 16, 2021
    • Venice, Italy
    • 会议

    Efficient fault root cause diagnosis is essential to ensure the production safety of industrial processes. The existing root cause diagnosis models can be summarized as linear methods and nonlinear methods. Linear methods cannot handle nonlinear processes well, while nonlinear methods usually require pairwise calculations between variables, which are complex and difficult to apply in real time. To address the above issues, a method for root cause diagnosis of nonlinear processes, termed sparse adjacency forecasting (SAF), is proposed in this paper. SAF is a causal inference method based on the idea of Granger causality. While forecasting time series, it constructs an adjacency matrix to synthesize the process information and the interaction of different variables. By adding sparse constraints to the adjacency matrix, the predictive effects between variables are reflected, and the causality is captured. This method only needs to model once to obtain the causal relationship between all variables, which avoids multiple modeling and improves diagnosis efficiency. Besides, in order to solve the nonlinear problem, multiple nonlinear random feature nodes are introduced for time series prediction. Two cases are adopted to verify the causal inference and root cause diagnosis performance of the proposed method, including a numerical case and the Tennessee Eastman benchmark process. © 2021 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0)

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  • 6.Dissimilarity Analytics for Monitoring of Nonstationary Industrial Processes with Stationary Subspace Decomposition

    • 关键词:
    • Process control;Process monitoring;Thermoelectric power plants;Data mining;Dissimilarity analysis;Extract informations;Low-dimensional subspace;Non-stationary behaviors;Nonstationary process;Nonstationary signals;Stationary components;Subspace decomposition
    • Mou, Wenbiao;Jin, Hongwei;Wang, Huanming;Dai, Minmin;Wang, Jie;Zhao, Chunhui
    • 《2020 Chinese Automation Congress, CAC 2020》
    • 2020年
    • November 6, 2020 - November 8, 2020
    • Shanghai, China
    • 会议

    The wide spread of dissimilarity analysis (DISSIM) gives rise to many useful process monitoring models. However, it is only limited to stationary processes. Reliable DISSIM based monitoring methods will encounter challenges of nonstationary behaviors including the time-varying mean or variance. In this work, a stationary subspace decomposition based DISSIM (SSD-DISSIM) model is developed to detect incipient faults sensitively for nonstationary industrial processes. As faults may disappear in time-varying process variations, the key is how to extract information with stationary characteristics from the complex process data. To eliminate the interference caused by the mixed nonstationary signals, the extraction of the stationary components is first conducted by projecting data into a low-dimensional subspace. As a type of distribution-based method, the DISSIM is combined to monitor the extracted stationary components in terms of not only the mean and variance, but also the correlations and distribution. Thus the proposed model can overcome the limitation of DISSIM that arises in nonstationary processes and enhance the sensitivity and reliability of the monitoring. The method effectiveness is demonstrated through the real thermal power plant example. © 2020 IEEE.

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  • 7.Multivariate Time Delay Estimation Based on Dynamic Characteristic Analytics

    • 关键词:
    • Process monitoring;Timing circuits;Cross correlations;Industrial processs;Nonlinear variables;Pair-wise comparison;Process Variables;Tennessee Eastman process;Time delay estimation;Variable selection
    • Chen, Xu;Zhao, Chunhui
    • 《39th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2020》
    • 2020年
    • July 27, 2020 - July 29, 2020
    • Shenyang, China
    • 会议

    Time delay widely exists among industrial process variables, which may lead to invalid description of systems and reduce the model accuracy for soft sensor, process monitoring etc. Therefore, it is crucial to estimate time delay for improving model accuracy. In traditional research, time delay estimation (TDE) algorithm for two variables is fully investigated, but little research pays attention to multivariate. The method of pairwise comparison may not only cause high calculation complexity but also cut off the correlation between multivariate. In this work, a new TDE algorithm is proposed to estimate time delay between multivariate, which extracts dynamic latent variable to represent the process using improved dynamic inner PCA algorithm (DiPCA). Dynamic latent variable extracts the autocorrelation and cross-correlation between process variables. Take it as a standard and analyze the time delay, so that the influence of multivariate variables could be comprehensively considered. Since there may be non-linear variables, the significant factor (SF) is used for variable selection, and the multivariate variables are divided into multiple linear subgroups, which makes the analysis result more reasonable. The effectiveness is illustrated with two numerical examples and the Tennessee Eastman process. © 2020 Technical Committee on Control Theory, Chinese Association of Automation.

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  • 8.Adversarial sample based semi-supervised learning for industrial soft sensor

    • 关键词:
    • Deep learning;Regression analysis;Supervised learning;Adversarial sample;Divergence-based regressor;Industrial processs;Robust modeling;Semi-supervised learning;Soft sensors;Training strategy;Tri-training;Tri-training strategy;Unlabeled samples
    • Feng, Liangjun;Zhao, Chunhui
    • 《21st IFAC World Congress 2020》
    • 2020年
    • July 12, 2020 - July 17, 2020
    • Berlin, Germany
    • 会议

    In industrial processes, soft sensor techniques are often utilized to predict the hard-to-measure quality variables. However, the labeled data which are obtained from the offline lab analysis can be quite rare. In the present work, a new divergence-based semi-supervised learning method is developed to exploit the unlabeled samples together with labeled ones for soft sensor application, namely adversarial tri-regression. First, the adversarial samples are generated based on the consideration of maximum disturbance, and through training on the combination of the adversarial samples and the original labeled samples, three regressors are initialized with divergence. Second, for each regressor, an unlabeled sample is labeled when the other two regressors agree on the labeling of this sample, which actually provides that regressor with some unknown information based on the divergence. As the three regressors label more and more samples for each other, the final regression model obtained by averaging the three base regressors presents increasingly more accurate prediction. The proposed method tackles a practical soft sensor problem for the industrial production process of cigarette.
    Copyright © 2020 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license

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  • 9.Dual-Stage Attention Based Spatio-Temporal Sequence Learning for Multi-Step Traffic Prediction

    • 关键词:
    • Forecasting;Decoding;Roads and streets;Motor transportation;Long short-term memory;Street traffic control;Attention mechanisms;Dual stage;Learn+;Multi-step traffic prediction;Multisteps;Sequence learning;Spatial correlations;Spatio-temporal;Temporal correlations;Traffic prediction
    • Cui, Ziqiang;Zhao, Chunhui
    • 《21st IFAC World Congress 2020》
    • 2020年
    • July 12, 2020 - July 17, 2020
    • Berlin, Germany
    • 会议

    Traffic prediction has great significance including but not limited to mitigating traffic congestion, reducing traffic accidents, and reducing waiting time. At the same time, traffic prediction, especially multi-step prediction, faces many difficulties including temporal correlations and spatial correlations. We propose a dual-stage attention based spatio-temporal sequence learning for multi-step traffic prediction which can not only express temporal correlation and spatial correlation, but also can adaptively learn the contribution weights of different related roads and historical moments. More specifically, for spatial dependencies, we first generate the input vector for each historical moment considering the information of relevant road segments by the method of spatial region of support and further add the first-stage attention termed spatial attention to automatically determine the weight of each relevant road segment for each historical moment. For temporal dependencies, we use LSTM based encoder-decoder networks to fully learn the temporal characteristic and make multi-step prediction considering temporal correlation between multi steps. We further add the second-stage attention termed temporal attention in the decoder part to automatically learn the contribution of different historical moments to each prediction moment. In addition, we consider external factors including weather and holidays and characterize their impacts using fully connected networks. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is evaluated using traffic data in Hangzhou, China.
    © 2020 Elsevier B.V.. All rights reserved.

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  • 10.The automatic analytics framework for multiple oscillations in the coupled control loops via a new variant of slow feature analysis

    • 关键词:
    • Autocorrelation;Closed loop control systems;Delay control systems;Process control;Time delay;Timing circuits;Auto correlation;Control loop;Control performance;Control performance monitoring;Coupled control loop;Coupled controls;Feature analysis;One-lag autocorrelation;Oscillation;Oscillation propagation ;Performance-monitoring;Slow feature analyse;Time-delay effect
    • Wang, Jie;Zhao, Chunhui;Fan, Haidong;Zheng, Weijian
    • 《21st IFAC World Congress 2020》
    • 2020年
    • July 12, 2020 - July 17, 2020
    • Berlin, Germany
    • 会议

    Oscillation is a frequent type of control performance degradation in the process. Multiple oscillations may propagate in the coupled control loops, bringing challenges to detection and localization of oscillations. In this paper, a time-frequency analysis framework including detection, extraction, and localization of oscillations is proposed. The method is based on a new variant of slow feature analysis (SFA), termed multi-lag derivatives dynamic slow feature analysis (MDSFA), and a new indicator, termed oscillation matched degree (OMD). To detect and reveal the possible oscillation sources, MDSFA is proposed to extract features with different rates from the observed data and probe into the time-delay effect and multi-lag autocorrelations specific to control loops. To pinpoint the root loops and travel paths of oscillations, the OMD indicator is designed via the spectral analysis, which can measure the oscillation frequencies and amplitudes. The proposed method is verified to be able to detect and locate oscillations automatically and efficiently via the real thermal power process.
    Copyright © 2020 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license

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