华东区域自然人群队列研究
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1.Adherence to the Mediterranean Diet and Risk of Depression: A Cohort Study in Chinese Community Residents.
- 关键词:
- Mediterranean diet; aMED; cohort study; depression; dietary pattern
- Zhang, Kexin;Wu, Yanan;Yi, Liping;Wu, Yiling;Deng, Yingqi;Xu, Xinxin;Wang, Biying;Jiang, Yonggen;Zhao, Qi;Zhao, Genming
- 《Nutrients》
- 2025年
- 17卷
- 6期
- 期刊
Objectives: Limited studies have investigated the association between compliance with a Mediterranean diet and depression in China. We sought to explore the potential association between the adherence to an alternate Mediterranean diet score (aMED) and the risk of developing depression among adults in Eastern China. Methods: This study used a prospective cohort design that involved a total of 52,232 individuals in the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank (SSACB). A reliable food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) was utilized to evaluate dietary intake, and we calculated the aMED score for each participant, dividing them into 3 groups accordingly (score 0-3, 4-5, 6-9). Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to compute the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: The median age of participants was 58 years (IQR: 50-65), with a male-to-female ratio of 1:1.59. Throughout an average 6.29 years of follow up, 1220 incident cases of depression were recorded through the ICD-10 classification codes F32 and F33. A higher level of adherence to the aMED was notably linked to a decreased risk of incident depression (HRhigh vs. low adherence = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.70-0.98; HRmoderate vs. low adherence = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.76-0.99; P-trend = 0.009) after multivariate adjustment. Each 1-score increase in the aMED score was associated with a 5% lower risk of depression (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.91-0.99), and this association was more pronounced among participants aged ≥65 years (P-interaction = 0.008). Conclusions: Our results suggest that following a Mediterranean diet might potentially provide mental health benefits, particularly for individuals aged 65 years and above.
...2.Integrative metabolomics and genomics reveal molecular signatures for type 2 diabetes and its cardiovascular complications.
- 关键词:
- 0 / Biomarkers;Cardiometabolic diseases; East Asians; Genetic association studies; Mendelian randomization; Metabolome; Type 2 diabetes; Zhejiang Metabolic Syndrome Cohort
- Cheng, Chunxiao;Liu, Yuanjiao;Sun, Lingyun;Fan, Jiayao;Sun, Xiaohui;Zheng, Ju-Sheng;Zheng, Lin;Zhu, Yimin;Zhou, Dan
- 《Cardiovascular diabetology》
- 2025年
- 24卷
- 1期
- 期刊
BACKGROUND: Metabolites are pivotal in the biological process underlying type 2 diabetes (T2D) and its cardiovascular complications. Nevertheless, their contributions to these diseases have not been comprehensively evaluated, particularly in East Asian ancestry. This study aims to elucidate the metabolic underpinnings of T2D and its cardiovascular complications and leverage multi-omics integration to uncover the molecular pathways involved.; METHOD: This study included 1180 Chinese participants from the Zhejiang Metabolic Syndrome Cohort (ZMSC). A total of 1912 metabolites were profiled using high-coverage widely targeted and non-targeted metabolic techniques. Multivariable logistic regression models and orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis were used to identify T2D-related metabolites. A metabolome-wide genome-wide association study (GWAS) in ZMSC, followed by two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses, was conducted to explore potential causal metabolite-T2D associations. To enhance cross-ancestry generalizability, MR analyses were conducted in European ancestry to explore the potential causal effects of serum metabolites on T2D and its cardiovascular complications. Furthermore, multi-omics evidence was integrated to explore the underlying molecular mechanisms.; RESULTS: We identified six metabolites associated with T2D in Chinese, supported by metabolome analysis and genetic-informed causal inference. These included two potential protective factors (PC [O-16:0/0:0] and its derivative LPC [O-16:0]) and four potential risk factors ([R]-2-hydroxybutyric acid, 2-methyllactic acid, eplerenone, and rauwolscine). Cross-ancestry metabolome-wide analysis further revealed four shared potential causal metabolites, highlighting the potential protective role of creatine for T2D. Through multi-omics integration, we revealed a potential regulatory path initialized by a genetic variant near CPS1 (coding for a urea cycle-related mitochondrial enzyme) influencing serum creatine levels and subsequently modulating the risk of T2D. MR analyses further demonstrated that nine urea cycle-related metabolites significantly influence cardiovascular complications of T2D.; CONCLUSION: Our study provides novel insights into the metabolic underpinnings of T2D and its cardiovascular complications, emphasizing the role of urea cycle-related metabolites in disease risk and progression. These findings advance our understanding of circulating metabolites in the etiology of T2D, offering potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets for future research.; RESEARCH INSIGHTS: WHAT IS CURRENTLY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?: Metabolites are crucial for understanding diabetes biology.Multi-omics integration aids in revealing complex mechanisms. WHAT IS THE KEY RESEARCH QUESTION?: How do serum metabolites affect diabetes and its cardiovascular outcomes? WHAT IS NEW?: Novel diabetes-related metabolites identified in Chinese populations.Consistent metabolites associated with diabetes and glycemic traits in East Asians and Europeans.Emphasizing the role of urea cycle pathway in cardiometabolic disease. HOW MIGHT THIS STUDY INFLUENCE CLINICAL PRACTICE?: Findings could guide diabetes prevention and personalized management strategies. © 2025. The Author(s).
...3.Disparities in Cancer Incidence among Chinese Population versus Migrants to Developed Regions: A Population-Based Comparative Study
- 关键词:
- GENOME-WIDE ASSOCIATION; LUNG-CANCER; BREAST-CANCER; SUSCEPTIBILITYLOCI; MEDITERRANEAN DIET; VEGETABLE INTAKE; PROSTATE-CANCER;AIR-POLLUTION; IDENTIFIES 2; LARGE-BOWEL
- Liu, Zhenqiu;Shi, Oumin;Cai, Ning;Jiang, Yanfeng;Zhang, Kexun;Zhu, Zhen;Yuan, Huangbo;Fang, Qiwen;Suo, Chen;Franceschi, Silvia;Zhang, Tiejun;Chen, Xingdong
- 《CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY BIOMARKERS & PREVENTION》
- 2019年
- 28卷
- 5期
- 期刊
Background: The incidence of cancer was determined by genetic and environmental factors and varied across the world. The discrepancies in cancer profile among Chinese people living in different regions remained obscure.Methods: Chinese people living in urban Shanghai, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Singapore, and Los Angeles were included in this study. The cancer case data and population data were collected from either the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus database or the regional cancer registry. A rate model was applied to examine the regional differences in cancer risk with Shanghai set as the reference.Results: From 1983 to 2013, the cancer profiles in most regions were changed. Significant differences in cancer incidence, by sex, period, and age, were detected across regions. The most pronounced disparities were found between Shanghai people and American Chinese in Los Angeles. For cancer site, the most significant differences were detected in prostate, gastrointestinal, gynecologic, oral cavity and pharynx, and brain and central nervous system (CNS) cancers. Specifically, Shanghai was significantly higher in stomach, liver, esophageal, pancreatic, and brain and CNS cancers, while lower in colon, prostate, breast, cervical, and oral cavity and pharynx cancers compared with the other five populations.Conclusions: Cancer profile was distinct across Chinese populations, which shared a similar genetic background but lived in different regions. The disparities indicate that cancer development was majorly determined by environmental factors, and suggests that region-tailored cancer prevention strategies were warranted.Impact: The cancer patterns in populations sharing the same genetic background were significantly influenced by different living conditions.
...4.The trends in incidence of primary liver cancer caused by specific etiologies: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 and implications for liver cancer prevention
- 关键词:
- Global liver cancer; HBV; HCV; Alcohol consumption; Prevention;HEPATITIS-B-VIRUS; HEPATOCELLULAR-CARCINOMA; ALCOHOL-CONSUMPTION;MORTALITY; PREVALENCE; CIRRHOSIS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; VACCINATION;PROJECTIONS; INFECTIONS
- Liu, Zhenqiu;Jiang, Yanfeng;Yuan, Huangbo;Fang, Qiwen;Cai, Ning;Suo, Chen;Jin, Li;Zhang, Tiejun;Chen, Xingdong
- 《JOURNAL OF HEPATOLOGY》
- 2019年
- 70卷
- 4期
- 期刊
Background & Aims: Liver cancer is a common malignant neoplasm worldwide. The etiologies for liver cancer are diverse and the incidence trends of liver cancer caused by specific etiologies are rarely studied. We therefore aimed to determine the pattern of liver cancer incidence, as well as temporal trends.Methods: We collected detailed information on liver cancer etiology between 1990-2016, derived from the Global Burden of Disease study in 2016. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in liver cancer age standardized incidence rate (ASR), by sex, region, and etiology, were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in liver cancer ASR.Results: Globally, incident cases of liver cancer increased 114.0% from 471,000 in 1990 to 1,007,800 in 2016. The overall ASR increased by an average 0.34% (95% CI 0.22%-0.45%) per year in this period. The ASR of liver cancer due to hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and other causes increased between 1990 and 2016. The corresponding EAPCs were 0.22 (95% CI 0.08-0.36), 0.57 (95% CI 0.48-0.66), and 0.51 (95% CI 0.41-0.62), respectively. The ASR of liver cancer due to reported alcohol use remained stable (EAPC = 0.10, 95% CI -0.06-0.25). This increasing pattern was heterogeneous across regions and countries. The most pronounced increases were generally observed in countries with a high socio-demographic index, including the Netherlands, the UK, and the USA.Conclusions: Liver cancer remains a major public health concern globally, though control of hepatitis B and C virus infections has contributed to the decreasing incidence in some regions. We observed an unfavorable trend in countries with a high socio-demographic index, suggesting that current prevention strategies should be reoriented, and much more targeted and specific strategies should be established in some countries to forestall the increase in liver cancer.Lay summary: Liver cancer is a common malignant neoplasm worldwide. The incidence patterns of liver cancer caused by different etiologies varied considerably across the world. In this study, we aim to determine the pattern of liver cancer incidence as well as the temporal trends, thereby facilitating the establishment of more tailored prevention strategies for liver cancer. (C) 2018 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
...5.[Study on the association of diet pattern with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in population aged 40 years and above in Songjiang District, Shanghai].
- Pang, X Y;Yu, J G;Yin, X;Sun, Z X;Liu, X;Li, J;Wu, Y L;Zhao, Q;Jiang, Y G;Zhao, G M;Wang, N;Jiang, Q W
- 《Zhonghua liu xing bing xue za zhi = Zhonghua liuxingbingxue zazhi》
- 2024年
- 45卷
- 12期
- 期刊
Objective: To explore the incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a cohort aged 40 years and above in Songjiang District, Shanghai, and to analyze the association of Mediterranean diet pattern and dietary approaches in stopping hypertension pattern (DASH) with the risk of developing COPD. Methods: Based on a natural population cohort in Songjiang District, Shanghai, 27 474 adults aged 40 years and above who did not have COPD at baseline were enrolled in the study. The Cox proportional risk regression model was used to analyze the association of baseline Mediterranean diet pattern score and DASH score with the risk of COPD, and the hazard ratio (HR) of the risk and its 95%CI were calculated. Restricted cubic spline was used to analyze the nonlinear association between the two diet scores and the risk of COPD. Stratified analyses were performed according to gender, age, smoking status, etcetera. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by censoring cases diagnosed within one year after the baseline survey or people with a history of malignant tumor disease. Results: As of June 30, 2023, after a median follow-up time of 6.21 years, there were 1 089 (4.0%) new COPD cases with an incidence density of 64.00 per 10 000 person-years. After adjusting for relevant confounders, in the Mediterranean tertile subgroups under diet pattern score, the risk of developing COPD could be reduced by approximately 14% in the intermediate scoring group (HR=0.86, 95%CI: 0.75-0.99) and 15% in the highest scoring group (HR=0.85, 95%CI: 0.72-0.99) compared to the lowest scoring group. The association remained after censoring cases diagnosed within one year of the baseline survey (HR=0.82, 95%CI: 0.70-0.95; HR=0.82, 95%CI: 0.68-0.97) or censoring people with a history of malignant tumor disease (HR=0.84, 95%CI: 0.73-0.97; HR=0.84, 95%CI: 0.71-0.99). No statistical association was found between the DASH score and the risk of COPD. Conclusions: The Mediterranean diet pattern was associated with a lower risk of COPD. Increasing the intake of vegetables, fruits, legumes, and whole grains and decreasing the intake of red meat and others can reduce the risk of COPD. No association was found between the DASH dietary pattern and the risk of COPD in this community population.
...6.Association of age at diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus with the risks of the morbidity of cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality: Evidence from a real-world study with a large population-based cohort study
- 关键词:
- Type 2 diabetes mellitus; Diagnosis age; Coronary heart disease; Stroke;Cancer; Mortality;ADOLESCENTS; OBESITY; ONSET; US
- Li, Yuhao;Luo, Jinbin;Bao, Kaifang;Wei, Qiaohui;Wang, Xiaohong;Chen, Jieping;Zhang, Tao;Wang, Fengying;Zhu, Yimin
- 《DIABETES RESEARCH AND CLINICAL PRACTICE》
- 2024年
- 217卷
- 期
- 期刊
Aims: To investigate the impact of diagnosis age of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on subsequent adverse outcomes within the Chinese population. Methods: 549,959 eligible T2DM patients were included from Ningbo and Jinhua city in Zhejiang province, China. Standardized ratio was used to evaluate the risks of coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, cancer and allcause death in different T2DM diagnosis age groups. Results: For all adverse outcomes, higher excess risks were observed in the youngest age group (30-39) than in the oldest age group (>= 80) with T2DM. The standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were 5.93 (95% CI: 3.46, 10.14) for CHD, 5.45 (95% CI: 3.72, 7.99) for stroke and 1.85 (95% CI: 1.38, 2.49) for cancer in the youngest age group, and were 1.32 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.60) for CHD, 1.25 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.44) for stroke, and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.56, 1.09) for cancer, respectively, in the oldest age group. The standardized mortality ratios (SMR) for all-cause death were 3.15 (1.69, 5.84) vs. 1.12 (0.88, 1.43). These excess risks decreased with increasing diagnosis age (all P value < 0.001). Consistent results were observed when individuals were stratified by sex or further excluded with the time from T2DM diagnosis to endpoints less than 1 or 2 years. Conclusions: Th earlier the diagnosis of T2DM, the higher the risk for subsequent adverse outcomes. It is imperative to enhance the management and monitoring of early-onset patients during follow-up.
...7.Prevalence, incidence, and recovery of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and associations with weight loss and lipid reduction in a Chinese communitybased cohort
- 关键词:
- Metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease; Prevalence;Incidence; Recovery; Weight loss; Cohort study;HIGH-FAT; METAANALYSIS; OBESITY; NAFLD
- Xu, Yurou;Wang, Youyi;Yao, Xiajing;Zhao, Qi;Chen, Bo;Wang, Na;Zhang, Tiejun;Jiang, Yonggen;Wu, Yiling;He, Na;Zhao, Genming;Sun, Zhongxing;Liu, Xing
- 《JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY》
- 2024年
- 卷
- 期
- 期刊
Background: As the most common chronic liver disease worldwide, the natural history of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in general population is barely reported. Methods: The Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank study recruited 36,404 adults between 2016 and 2017, and followed up 25,085 participants between 2019 and 2023 in Songjiang District. A questionnaire survey was conducted by face-to-face interview, and physical examination and laboratory tests were conducted. MASLD was diagnosed by liver ultrasound and the cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRF). Results: A total of 36,122 and 21,831 participants met the criteria for baseline and follow-up analyses. The prevalence of MASLD at baseline was 36.8% overall, and 73.6% among those with a BMI over 28 kg/m2. 2 . After a median follow-up time of 4.26 years, the incidence density for MASLD was 8.4, and the recovery density was 11.4 per 100 person-years overall, and was 20.0 and 8.4 per 100 person-years for those with baseline BMI over 28 kg/m2. 2 . Per 1 kg/m2 2 increase in baseline BMI was associated with an 15% increase in incidence (HR=1.15, 95%CI: 1.14-1.17) and an 8% decrease in recovery (HR=0.92, 95%CI: 0.90-0.93). From baseline to follow-up visit, participants who remained non-obese, or remained normal cardiometabolic status always showed the lowest incidence and the highest recovery rate, followed by those with improved status. Conclusions: The prevalence and incidence of MASLD were high among Shanghai residents, and active recovery was also observed. Obesity was the most important risk factor, and weight loss and lipid level reduction were beneficial for preventing or reversing MASLD.
...8.Impact of low-level exposure to antibiotics on bile acid homeostasis in adults: Implication for human safety thresholds
- 关键词:
- Antibiotic; Urine; Low-level exposure; Bile acid; Human safetythresholds; Adult;GUT MICROBIOTA; RENAL EXCRETION; METABOLISM; PHARMACOKINETICS; URINARY;FOOD; PROFILE; SAMPLES; CHINA
- Wang, Yuanping;Wang, Yi;Zhao, Qi;Cong, Wenjuan;Wang, Na;Zhao, Ke;Liu, Jiaqi;Liu, Xiaohua;Zhao, Genming;Lambert, Helen;Huang, Min;Wang, Hexing;Chen, Yue;Jiang, Qingwu
- 《ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY》
- 2024年
- 279卷
- 期
- 期刊
Bile acid homeostasis is critical to human health. Low-level exposure to antibiotics has been suggested to potentially disrupt bile acid homeostasis by affecting gut microbiota, but relevant data are still lacking in humans, especially for the level below human safety threshold. We conducted a cross-sectional study in 4247 Chinese adults by measuring 34 parent antibiotics and their metabolites from six common categories (i.e., tetracyclines, qinolones, macrolides, sulfonamides, phenicols, and lincosamides) and ten representative bile acids in fasting morning urine using liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry. Daily exposure dose of antibiotics was estimated from urinary concentrations of parent antibiotics and their metabolites. Urinary bile acids and their ratios were used to reflect bile acid homeostasis. The estimated daily exposure doses (EDED) of five antibiotic categories with a high detection frequency (i.e., tetracyclines, qinolones, macrolides, sulfonamides, and phenicols) were significantly associated with urinary concentrations of bile acids and decreased bile acid ratios in all adults and the subset of 3898 adults with a cumulative ratio of antibiotic EDED to human safety threshold of less than one. Compared to a negative detection of antibiotics, the lowest EDED quartiles of five antibiotic categories and four individual antibiotics with a high detection frequency (i.e., ciprofloxacin, ofloxacin, trimethoprim, and florfenicol) in the adults with a positive detection of antibiotics had a decrease of bile acid ratio between 6.6% and 76.6%. Except for macrolides (1.2x102 x10 2 ng/kg/day), the medians of the lowest EDED quartile of antibiotic categories and individual antibiotics ranged from 0.32 ng/kg/day to 10 ng/kg/day, which were well below human safety thresholds. These results suggested that low-level antibiotic exposure could disrupt bile acid homeostasis in adults and existing human safety thresholds may be inadequate in safeguarding against the potential adverse health effects of low-level exposure to antibiotics.
...9.Healthy lifestyle decreases the risk of the first incidence of non-communicable chronic disease and its progression to multimorbidity and its mediating roles of metabolic components: a prospective cohort study in China
- 关键词:
- Healthy lifestyle; Non-communicable chronic diseases (NCDs); Multiplechronic conditions (MCCs);PATTERNS; PREVALENCE; OBESITY; ACID
- Lai, Chong;Fu, Ruiyi;Huang, Changzhen;Wang, Lu;Ren, Haiqing;Zhu, Yimin;Zhang, Xuhui
- 《JOURNAL OF NUTRITION HEALTH & AGING》
- 2024年
- 28卷
- 3期
- 期刊
Objectives To identify the influence of healthy lifestyles on the incidence of the first NCD (FNCD), multiple chronic conditions (MCCs), and the progression from FNCD to MCCs. Design: cohort study. Setting: Zhejiang, ChinaParticipants: 10566 subjects (55.5 +/- 13.5 years, 43.1% male) free of NCDs at baseline from the Zhejiang Metabolic Syndrome prospective cohort. Measurements Healthy lifestyle score (HLS) was developed by 6 common healthy lifestyle factors as smoking, alcohol drinking, physical activity, body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). Healthy lifestyle data and metabolic biomarkers collected via a face-to-face questionnaire-based interview, clinical health examination and routine biochemical determination. Biochemical variables were determined using biochemical auto-analyzer. Participants were stratified into four group based on the levels of HLS as <= 2, 3, 4 and >= 5. Multiple Cox proportional hazards model was applied to examine the relationship between HLS and the risk of FNCD, MCCs and the progression from FNCD to MCCs. The population-attributable fractions (PAF) were used to assess the attributable role of HLS. Mediating effect was examined by mediation package in R.Results: After a median of 9.92 years of follow-up, 1572 participants (14.9%) developed FNCD, and 149 (1.4%) developed MCCs. In the fully adjusted model, the higher HLS group (>= 5) was associated with lower risk of FNCD (HR = 0.68 and 95% CI: 0.56-0.82), MCCs (HR = 0.31 and 95%CI: 0.14-0.69); and the progression from FNCD to MCCs (HR = 0.39 and 95%CI: 0.18-0.85). Metabolic components (TC, TG, HDL-C, LDC-C, FPG, and UA) played the mediating roles with the proportion ranging from 5.02% to 22.2% for FNCD and 5.94% to 20.1% for MCCs. PAFs (95%CI) for poor adherence to the overall healthy lifestyle (HLS <= 3) were 17.5% (11.2%, 23.7%) for FNCD, 42.9% (23.4%, 61.0%) for MCCs, and 37.0% (15.5%, 56.3%) for the progression from FNCD to MCCs.Conclusions: High HLS decreases the risk of FNCD, MCCs, and the progression from FNCD to MCCs. These effects are partially mediated by metabolic components. Maintaining healthy lifestyles might reduce the disease burden of common chronic diseases.
...10.Changes in frailty and incident cardiovascular disease in three prospective cohorts.
- 关键词:
- Cardiovascular disease; Dynamic nature; Epidemiology; Frailty
- He, Di;Wang, Zhaoping;Li, Jun;Yu, Kaixin;He, Yusa;He, Xinyue;Liu, Yuanjiao;Li, Yuhao;Fu, Ruiyi;Zhou, Dan;Zhu, Yimin
- 《European heart journal》
- 2024年
- 卷
- 期
- 期刊
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Previous studies found that frailty was an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, previous studies only focused on baseline frailty status, not taking into consideration the changes in frailty status during follow-up. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations of changes in frailty status with incident CVD.; METHODS: This study used data of three prospective cohorts: China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), and Health and Retirement Study (HRS). Frailty status was evaluated by the Rockwood frailty index and classified as robust, pre-frail, or frail. Changes in frailty status were assessed by frailty status at baseline and the second survey which was two years after the baseline. Cardiovascular disease was ascertained by self-reported physician-diagnosed heart disease (including angina, heart attack, congestive heart failure, and other heart problems) or stroke. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) after adjusting for potential confounders.; RESULTS: A total of 7116 participants from CHARLS (female: 48.6%, mean age: 57.4 years), 5303 from ELSA (female: 57.7%, mean age: 63.7 years), and 7266 from HRS (female: 64.9%, mean age: 65.1 years) were included according to inclusion and exclusion criteria. The median follow-up periods were 5.0 years in the CHARLS, 10.7 years in the ELSA, and 9.5 years in the HRS. Compared with stable robust participants, robust participants who progressed to pre-frail or frail status had increased risks of incident CVD (CHARLS, HR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.54-2.21; ELSA, HR = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.25-1.86; HRS, HR = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.31-1.92). In contrast, frail participants who recovered to robust or pre-frail status presented decreased risks of incident CVD (CHARLS, HR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.47-0.81; ELSA, HR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.34-0.69; HRS, HR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.55-0.89) when compared with stable frail participants. These decreased risks of incident CVD were also observed in pre-frail participants who recovered to robust status (CHARLS, HR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.52-0.83; ELSA, HR = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.49-0.85; HRS, HR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.91) when compared with stable pre-frail participants.; CONCLUSIONS: Different changes in frailty status are associated with different risks of incident CVD. Progression of frailty status increases incident CVD risks, while recovery of frailty status decreases incident CVD risks. © The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
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