人工降雨雪影响下空陆一体化的区域水资源适应性调控研究

项目来源

国家重点研发计划(NKRD)

项目主持人

关铁生

项目受资助机构

水利部交通运输部国家能源局

项目编号

2016YFC0401005

立项年度

2016

立项时间

未公开

项目级别

国家级

研究期限

未知 / 未知

受资助金额

233.00万元

学科

水资源高效开发利用

学科代码

未公开

基金类别

未公开

关键词

人工降雨雪 ; 水文模型 ; 需水预测 ; 一体化调控 ; Artificial rainfall and snow ; hydrological model ; water demand prediction ; integrated regulation

参与者

王高旭;吴巍;曾小凡

参与机构

南京水利科学研究院;华中科技大学

项目标书摘要:建立了网格分布式物理水文模型,定量评估了人工降雨雪对地表水、土壤水和地下水的影响,完善了人工降雨雪影响下区域水资源量评价方法,提出了石羊河流域人工降雨雪对区域水资源影响的分析结果。基于“彭曼—蒙特斯”方法构建了与降雨过程匹配的农田灌溉需水量预测模型,构建了人工降雨雪影响下区域水资源供需平衡分析方法,提出了典型人工降雨雪方案影响下的石羊河流域分布式需水预测结果。提出了区域空中水资源和陆地水资源联合调控的技术框架,基于启发式多层次分解协调的区域水资源利用仿真与调控建模方法构建了适用于石羊河流域快速求解的水资源配置模型,在石羊河流域实现了空陆水资源联合调控实例研究。模拟结果表明空陆水资源联合调控有效地缓解了石羊河流域水资源供需矛盾。分析我国不同水资源分区水资源利用程度及特点,为工降雨雪影响下区域水资源综合利用策略研究奠定坚实的基础。

Application Abstract: A grid-based distributed physical hydrological model was established to quantitatively evaluate the impact of artificial rainfall and snow on surface water,soil water,and groundwater.The method for evaluating regional water resources under the influence of artificial rainfall and snow was improved.Results of analysis of regional water impacts.Based on the"Pengman-Montes"method,a prediction model of farmland irrigation water demand that matches the rainfall process was constructed,and a regional water supply and demand balance analysis method under the influence of artificial rainfall and snow was constructed.Forecast results of distributed water demand in river basins.A technical framework for joint control of regional aerial water resources and terrestrial water resources is proposed.Based on heuristic multi-level decomposition and coordination of regional water resources simulation and regulation modeling methods,a water resource allocation model suitable for rapid solution in the Shiyang River Basin is constructed.A case study of joint control of air and land water resources in the Shiyang River Basin.The simulation results show that the joint control of air and land water resources has effectively alleviated the contradiction between water supply and demand in the Shiyang River Basin.Analyze the utilization degree and characteristics of water resources in different water resources subdivisions in China,and lay a solid foundation for the study of regional water resources comprehensive utilization strategies under the influence of industrial rainfall and snow.

项目受资助省

江苏省

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  • 1.我国城市洪涝灾害防治存在的问题与应对策略

    • 关键词:
    • 城市洪涝;灾害防治;存在问题;应对措施
    • 王高旭;施睿;孙晓伟;孔梦园
    • 《中国水利学会2018学术年会》
    • 中国江西南昌
    • 会议

    分析了我国城市洪涝灾害防治在排水基础设施建设、管理体系建设、监测预警和信息化建设、海绵城市建设、基础研究等方面存在的主要问题,并在此基础上研究提出了我国城市洪涝灾害防治的措施建议。我国城市洪涝灾害防治应着力提高排水系统的建设和运维水平,统筹利用地表地下蓄水空间,强调工程措施与非工程措施的综合利用,加强监测与预警预报体系建设,多部门协同推进,确保发挥系统治理效益。

    ...
  • 2.Solar dimming or brightening in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin under 1.5 °c and 2 °c global warming targets?

    • 关键词:
    • Solar energy;Earth (planet);Rivers;Watersheds;Solar radiation;Climate condition;Emission scenario;Jialing rivers;Jinsha River basins;Primary energy source;Surface solar radiation;Temporal and spatial changes;Upper reaches of the yangtze rivers
    • Wang, Zhiguo;Zhao, Na;Hou, Zhongrun
    • 《5th International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection, EEEP 2020》
    • 2021年
    • November 17, 2020 - November 19, 2020
    • Xiamen, Virtual, China
    • 会议

    Solar radiation, as the primary energy source of the Earth, influences the climate conditions and changes of our planet. Whether solar dimming or brightening would occur in the future under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming background was an important question. In this study, climate data under four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios were used to calculate and analyse temporal and spatial changes of solar radiation in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River Basin for the future period 2020-2099. Results showed that surface solar radiation would increase under RCP2.6 and RCP4.5, while it would decrease under RCP6.0 and RCP8.5. Especially, dramatic solar dimming would occur in all years in the future under RCP8.5, which indicated that the fluctuations of the amount of solar energy in the future were related to the emission scenarios. Spatially, under global warming 1.5 °C, solar brightening would occur mainly in the central regions and become weaker with the higher emission scenarios. However, under global warming 2 °C, solar dimming would occur mainly in the upper Jinsha River Basin and the lower reaches of the Jialing River Basin and become stronger with the higher emission scenarios. Relative to the other three RCP, obvious and dramatic solar dimming would occur under RCP8.5 in the total area. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

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  • 3.Impact of global dimming/brightening on estimating Angström-Prescott parameters based on geographically weighted regression in China

    • 关键词:
    • Parameter estimation ; Meteorology;Climate factors ; Energy planning ; Geographically weighted regression ; Global dimming/brightening ; Meteorological data ; Solar radiation data ; Solar radiation estimation ; Spatial patterns
    • WangZhiguo;DuJunzhu;ZhaoNa
    • 《2020 2nd International Conference on Civil Engineering, Environment Resources and Energy Materials, CCESEM 2020》
    • 2021年
    • September 18, 2020-September 20, 2020
    • Changsha, China
    • 会议

    Variations of solar radiation is related to energy planning and architectural designing. It is important to estimate solar radiation from other climate factors because of the limited measurement solar radiation data. In this study, temporospatial changes of solar radiation and sunshine hour are analysed for global dimming/brightening periods based on meteorological data in China. Results show that the trends of solar radiation and sunshine hour are both decreasing dramatically for 1961-1990 (the global dimming period) but levelling off for 1991-2010 (the global brightening period), which indicates that sunshine hour can be used the reliable indicator of solar radiation. Spatially, the change trends of solar radiation are consistent with sunshine hour in 36 stations during the period of 1961-1990, but they are consistent in just 27 stations during the period of 1991-2010. To assess the impact of changing solar radiation on Angstrom-Prescott parameters (a and b) in the equation of solar radiation estimation from sunshine hour, geographically weighted regression is developed to calculate a and b. There is not dramatic difference in the spatial patterns of a and b for the period of 1961-2010 and 1961-1990. However, there is significantly inconsistent changes in a and b during the global brightening period compared with the global dimming period, which suggests that global dimming/brightening has important impact on estimating solar radiation from sunshine hour, with dramatic variability among different regions. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

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  • 4.Application of ESMD method to the runoff process in the Arid and semi-Arid area

    • 关键词:
    • Curve fitting;Runoff;Least squares approximations;Arid and semi-arid areas;Engineering applications;Fitting curves;Hilbert Huang transforms;Least square methods;Observational data;Oceanic science;Science research
    • Wu, Kai;Li, Lingqi;Zhang, Nan
    • 《2nd International Conference on Oil and Gas Engineering and Geological Sciences, OGEGS 2020》
    • 2020年
    • July 4, 2020 - July 5, 2020
    • Dalian, China
    • 会议

    The ESMD method was good at finding the optimal adaptive global mean fitting curve, which was superior to the common least-square method and running-mean approach. It was the new development of the well-known Hilbert-Huang transform and could be used effectively in the science researches and engineering applications associated with data analysis from atmospheric and oceanic sciences, informatics and so on. Take the runoff process of West Liaohe River as an example, the test on the observational data indicated that this approach was very feasible. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

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  • 5.Distributed modeling of surface solar radiation based on aerosol optical depth and sunshine duration in China

    • 关键词:
    • Optical properties;Optical remote sensing;Aerosols;Aerosol optical depths;Calculation accuracy;Distributed modeling;Distributed simulations;Driving conditions;Meteorological station;Simulation accuracy;Surface solar radiation
    • Zeng, Xiaofan;Zhao, Na;Ma, Yue
    • 《2nd International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection, EEEP 2017》
    • 2018年
    • November 20, 2017 - November 22, 2017
    • Sanya, China
    • 会议

    Surface solar radiation, as a major component of energy balance, is an important driving condition for nutrient and energy cycle in the Earth system. The spatial distribution of total solar radiation at 10 km×10 km resolution in China was simulated with Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) data from remote sensing and observing sunshine hours data from ground meteorological stations based on Geographic Information System (GIS). The results showed that the solar radiation was significantly different in the country, and affected by both sunshine hours and AOD. Sunshine hours are higher in the Northwest than that in the Northeast, but solar radiation is lower because of the higher AOD, especially in autumn and winter. It was suggested that the calculation accuracy of solar radiation was limited if just based on sunshine hours, and AOD can be considered as the influencing factor which would help to improve the simulation accuracy of the total solar radiation and realize the solar radiation distributed simulation. © 2018 Institute of Physics Publishing. All rights reserved.

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  • 6.Potential relationships between the river discharge and the precipitation in the Jinsha River basin, China

    • 关键词:
    • Energy resources;Rivers;Annual precipitation;Good correlations;Jinsha River basins;Observation Period;Precipitation trends;River discharge;Water resources management
    • Wang, Gaoxu;Zeng, Xiaofan;Zhao, Na;He, Qifang;Bai, Yiran;Zhang, Ruoyu
    • 《2nd International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Protection, EEEP 2017》
    • 2018年
    • November 20, 2017 - November 22, 2017
    • Sanya, China
    • 会议

    The relationships between the river discharge and the precipitation in the Jinsha River basin are discussed in this study. In addition, the future precipitation trend from 2011-2050 and its potential influence on the river discharge are analysed by applying the CCLM-modelled precipitation. According to the observed river discharge and precipitation, the annual river discharge at the two main hydrological stations displays good correlations with the annual precipitation in the Jinsha River basin. The predicted future precipitation tends to change similarly as the change that occurred during the observation period, whereas the monthly distributions over a year could be more uneven, which is unfavourable for water resources management. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

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